Information Explosion and the Future of Litigation

Graphic image of revent spike in amount of InformationA new law review article raises thought provoking questions about the impact of the information explosion on the practice of law, especially litigation:  Information Inflation: Can the Legal System Adapt?  13 RICH. J.L. & TECH. 10 (2007). The authors are George Paul, a partner in Lewis and Roca, and a graduate of Yale Law School (1982); and Jason Baron, a Director of Litigation at the National Archives and Records Administration, College Park, Maryland, and graduate of Boston University School of Law (1980). In a very highbrow, and some would say “far out” article, they predict that the legal system will adapt by changing in four basic areas.  I personally agree with their predictions, but suspect more adaptions than the four they articulate will be required.

The article begins by laying out the recent very rapid acceleration of information, and placing this dramatic increase in historical context.  Writing has co-evolved with civilization over the past 50 centuries or longer, during which time there has been a slow but steady increase in information as our writing technologies slowly improved.  Charted out on a graph, it would look like a gradual curve, as our writing moved from chiseled stone, to parchment, to the printing press. Then there was a significant upturn, but still a curve, much like a sine wave.  All of these forms of information are, in the author’s words, “recorded communications . . . confined to the physical realm – frozen in time as ‘information artifacts’. ” Id. at pg. 4. 

Then, all of a sudden, about twenty years ago, the sine wave spiked straight upwards,  far up, as shown in the graph above.  The  amount of information exploded as mankind invented new and much more powerful writing technologies, including “digitization; real time computing; the microprocessor; the personal computer; e-mail; local and wide-area networks leading to the Internet; the evolution of software, which has ‘locked in’ seamless editing as an almost universal function; (and) the World Wide Web.”  Id. at pgs. 5-6. 

These new technologies allowed for an altogether different form of writing, free from all physical confines.  Now the quantity of information humankind can create is virtually unlimited.  They point out how anyone today “can distribute thousands or even millions of identical records in an instant.” Id. pg. 8.  The authors refer to this as an “Information Ecosystem” which as a “whole exhibits an emergent behavior more than the sum of its parts.”  Id. at pg. 7.  They contend that: 

Critically for law,  such systems cannot be understood or explained by any one person. As a result, writing has now grown into something akin to a new “form of life.” Because of its long standing stasis and the importance of writing as a global technology, such a development may legitimately be said to herald a new phase of civilization.  (footnotes omitted)

The authors compare the sudden spike in information to the rapid early growth of the Universe right after the “Big Bang”.  They use the term “Inflation” in the same sense that many cosmologists use the termId.  at 1.  Unlike the economic meaning of inflation, in information theory, and many cosmologies, there is no countervailing deflation or recession.  Our ESI, like the Universe itself, just keeps expanding, and there is no turning back, no downward adjustment.  No one knows whether the amount of information we store will continue to increase forever at this rate, or whether the inflation may eventually slow down, or maybe even reverse.  But we do know that, barring a major world disaster, an exponential increase of information is the most likely scenario for the rest of our lives, and so we had better learn to cope with this rapid change, and learn fast.

The authors then turn to the legal profession and consider how it is “confronting an inflationary epoch.”  Basically the problem for dispute resolution attorneys is that the vast quantities of data involved in most cases makes it impossible to find all of the evidence relevant to the case.  We are forced to settle for limited information.  To use the old parable, we are all blind men looking at an elephant, except that now the elephant keeps getting bigger and bigger.   In the paper world of just a few years ago, this was anathema to the legal profession.  Discovery was intended to ferret out all of the key facts.  We pretty much knew what we were looking for and where to find it.  We would all strive for as much certainty as possible, and would routinely review all of the written records involved in a dispute.  

Today, the word “all” itself becomes obsolete.  In most large law suits today, the amount of ESI involved makes it impossible to gather all relevant information.  Litigators have to be satisfied with retrieving some of the relevant evidence.  To use a common analogy, you know you have a haystack to search through, but you have no real idea of the number of needles in it, if any.  You could find one or two, and you may have them all, or there could be hundreds more.  You will never know because the haystack is impossibly large.

For instance, in future suits involving actions by the current administration, the National Archives and Records Administration  (“NARA”) estimates that by January 20, 2009, it will have custody of over one hundred million emails from the George W. Bush White House alone. Id. at pg. 12.  The total number of emails in NARA custody will soon reach the one billion mark. To search through all of those emails would take a team of one hundred full time lawyers over fifty-four years.  Id.at pg. 13.  Assuming a very low billing rate of $100 per hour, the cost of review would be $2 billion. As the authors point out, email is just the beginning, new forms of writing and communication are developing that will continue the flood, such as instant messages, voice mail, web traffic, wikis and the like. Id. at pgs.14-15.

The authors predict the legal profession will necessarily have to change and adapt new strategies of practice to cope with this information inflation. Here, in a nutshell, are their four predictions:

1.  “There must be a change in culture among litigation lawyers.”  What they call the current “game theory” behind litigation must end, and be replaced by strategic cooperation and transparency in ESI discovery and production.  Lawyers will be forced to collaborate as that will be the only way to discover enough ESI related to a dispute to adequately evaluate the client’s position. The traditional adversarial mode of discovery will not achieve that end.  As a specific example they predict what they call “virtuous cycle iterative feedback loops.’  Id. at pgs. 32-36. As I understand it, that means the parties will agree to a preliminary search method, which today is likely to be an agreed set of search terms.  The parties will then try out the agreed search on a limited data set, evaluate and share the results, and then meet again to try to refine the terms for the next search.  The next iteration of the search will incorporate the lessons learned from the last search, and so on, until the parties (or barring agreement, the court) are satisfied they have enough information to resolve the dispute (or the funds budgeted for the discovery process have been exhausted). 

2. New search technologies and software will have to be employed to get a better handle on the overall size of the haystack, and find more of the needles that lie within. The current reliance on mere keyword searches will be replaced by much more sophisticated searches employing various types of concept and contextual searches, artificial intelligence, and statistical sampling techniques.  The reliance on expensive human review will significantly diminish, and instead litigators will develop new skills and computer competence.

3.  The law will innovate and change to face the reality that all evidence cannot be searched before production, and that no one will ever know if all relevant ESI has been located, much less preserved and produced.  The law governing inadvertent disclosure of privileged information will have to change, and new more appropriate rules of waiver developed.

4. There will be a revolution in legal practice as attorneys fully incorporate the continuing advances of technology.  This “equates to perhaps the biggest skill set ever thrust upon the profession. . . Lawyers must embrace creative, technological approaches to grappling with knowledge management as information inflation continues apace.  Failure to do so will severely hamper the legal profession’s ability to meaningfully retrieve and process evidence.”  Id. at pg. 3. I only wish that the article spent more time exploring this necessary adaption; instead it is largely left to your imagination.  But then, perhaps that is part of the message.

5 Responses to Information Explosion and the Future of Litigation

  1. Desktopjunk says:

    Thanks, always good posts on your blog!

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  2. […] the law review article, Information Inflation, by Paul & Baron cited above, see my prior blog Information Explosion and the Future of Litigation. I have also previously written on the above cited Sedona Commentary on Search in The Myth of the […]

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  3. […] Can The Legal System Adapt? 13 Rich J.L. & Tech 10 (2007). I discussed this in my article Information Explosion and the Future of Litigation. If you liked Paul and Baron’s article, then you will also like this […]

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  4. […] System Adapt?,” 13 Rich. J. Law & Tech. 10 (2007) (as also recounted in one of Ralph’s prior blogs), and most recently discussed at greater length in the previously mentioned Sedona Commentary on […]

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